Monday, May 31, 2010
Drugs Afghanistan
US doesn't care about terrorist threats
Sunday, May 30, 2010
Israel threatens Iran with nuclear missiles
The first has been sent in response to Israeli fears that ballistic missiles developed by Iran, Syria and Hezbollah, a political and military organisation in Lebanon, could hit sites in Israel, including air bases and missile launchers.
The submarines of Flotilla 7 — Dolphin, Tekuma and Leviathan — have visited the Gulf before. But the decision has now been taken to ensure a permanent presence of at least one of the vessels.
Afghanistan civil society and Malalai Joya
Saturday, May 29, 2010
NPT summit
Also, there was an agreement on some steps for nuclear disarmament, but due to opposition from NWS, that didn't go very far.
Iran swap nuclear
Bush goes to war for economic growth
Friday, May 28, 2010
Iran swap nuclear deal
Thursday, May 27, 2010
Obama flip flopping
Karzai the Menace Becomes Karzai the Indispensable
On assuming the presidency, Obama made no secret of his dislike for his Afghan counterpart, Hamid Karzai. To circumvent his central government’s pervasive corruption, senior American officials came up with the idea of dealing directly with Afghan provincial and district governors. In the presidential election of August 2009, their preference for Abdullah Abdullah, a serious rival to Karzai, was widely known.
When Karzai resorted to massive vote rigging to ensure his reelection and turned a deaf ear to Washington’s exhortations to clean up his administration, Obama decided to use a stick to bring Washington’s latest client regime in line. In a dramatic gesture, he undertook an air journey of 26 hours -- from Washington to Kabul -- over the last weekend in March to deliver a 26-minute lecture to Karzai on the corruption and administrative ineptitude of his government. The Afghan leader had few options but to listen in stony silence.
When, however, Karzai read a news story in which an unnamed senior American military official suggested that his younger half-brother, Ahmed Wali, the power broker in the southern province of Kandahar, deserved to be put on the Pentagon’s current list of drug barons to be killed or captured, his patience snapped.
An incensed Afghan president responded by claiming that the U.S. was deliberately intensifying and widening the war in Afghanistan in order to stay in the region and dominate it. He added that, if Washington’s pressure continued, he might join the Taliban. (He had, in fact, been a significant fundraiser for the Taliban after they captured Kabul in September 1996.)
Obama reacted as he had done in the past. When facing a serious challenge, he retreated. From being a stick wielder he morphed into a carrier of carrots during a Karzai visit to Washington early this month (that, in March, administration officials were threatening to postpone indefinitely).
The high point of the wooing of Karzai -- worthy of being included in a modern version of Alice in Wonderland -- was a dinner Vice-President Joe Biden gave for the Afghan dignitary at his residence. At the very least Karzai must have been bemused. In February, Biden had staged a dramatic walk-out halfway through a dinner at the Afghan president’s palace after Karzai denied that his government was corrupt or that, if it was, he was at fault.
Despite the Obama administration’s “red carpet treatment” and “charm offensive,” Karzai was boldly honest at a joint press conference with Obama when he described Iran as “our bother country, our friend.”
Tuesday, May 25, 2010
India vs maoists
US expands covert activities
The top American commander in the Middle East has ordered a broad expansion of clandestine military activity in an effort to disrupt militant groups or counter threats in Iran, Saudi Arabia, Somalia and other countries in the region, according to defense officials and military documents.
The seven-page directive appears to authorize specific operations in Iran, most likely to gather intelligence about the country’s nuclear program or identify dissident groups that might be useful for a future military offensive.
Monday, May 24, 2010
China Iran sanctions
Russia and China were in the position to make demands - and they did, as the New York Times reported: Among the many compromises that the United States accepted to get China and Russia to back new sanctions against Iran was an agreement to limit any reference to the bank - or Iran's entire energy sector, for that matter - to the introductory paragraphs rather than the sanctions themselves, according to American officials and other diplomats, yielding a weaker resolution than the United States would have liked.
Basically the article argues that China (and Russia) agreed to sanctions but diluted them a lot, so China's commercial interests wit Iran will not really be impeded.
Uribe's brother led paramilitaries
Israel nuclear weapons
Saturday, May 22, 2010
Iran nuclear sanctions
U.S. officials also acknowledged that a loophole slipped into the language of the draft Security Council resolution on Iran would exempt a Russian-Iranian missile deal from a proposed ban of major arms sales to the Islamic republic.
And an article on China's contribution to Iran's military production.
Friday, May 21, 2010
Habeas corpus overturned in Bagram
Glenn Greenwald has an excellent post on this.
China-Pakistan nuclear deal
Thursday, May 20, 2010
Drug war Russia NATO
But a few Russian experts say the Kremlin is hyping the drug issue as a pretext for becoming more assertive in Central Asia.
"The Russian state drug service tends to overestimate drug consumption in Russia; there is no independent confirmation," says Andrei Soldatov, editor of Agentura.ru, an online journal about security issues. "All of a sudden we hear a lot of declarations about how the threat is dire, and growing, and something has to be done. But it looks to me like convenient political theater, and I find it very difficult to trust all these claims."
Iran nuclear swap
Iran nuclear arms race
NAM not happy with sanctions on Iran
Wednesday, May 19, 2010
Gaza war report
Human Rights Watch (HRW) released a report last week backing Goldstone’s investigation despite Israeli claims that its forces only destroyed civilian property when armed Palestinian groups were using the facilities.
HRW’s 116-page report, “I Lost Everything: Israel’s Unlawful Destruction of Property in the Gaza Conflict,” documents 12 separate cases during Operation Cast Lead in which Israeli forces extensively destroyed civilian property, including homes, factories, farms, and greenhouses, in areas under their control without any lawful military purpose.
The report is here.Drone strikes
Iran nuclear
Trita Parsi has a good analysis of the deal and sanctions.
Jason Ditz has a detailed analysis of Iran's uranium stocks.
US Sudan Darfur
At the moment, because allying openly with Khartoum is bad PR and anyway China is already well implemented, the US is trying to forge an alliance with the south, which should become independent in January 2011 through a referendum.
Tuesday, May 18, 2010
Iran nuclear deal reply
US backs militias in Afghanistan
Although the US and coalition officially condemn any form of "militias", insisting they work only with groups that are approved and licensed by the Afghan government, in reality many of the gunmen who "belong" to the powerful warlord clans of the city have been enlisted for help by Nato.
Armed militias may be found as guards at coalition gates or as guards that protect Nato supply convoys, in the guise of interpreters and other staff at coalition bases, and as special units attached to coalition special forces and intelligence teams.
According to those I interviewed, most of the power held by the militia leaders stems not from their links to the Afghan government but from the hundreds of millions of pounds of contracts awarded by the military and Western civilian agencies which these men conspire to monopolise.
Karzai peace plan with Taliban
Top Taliban leaders are offered safe passage into exile and their names would be dropped from the United Nations sanction list if they sever their "links with al-Qaida." Fighters who lay down their weapons will not face prosecution and will be protected from persecution. With the help of comprehensive job programs, the former Taliban militants are to be trained to work developing the national highway system and on infrastructure projects, or as members of a civil emergency response unit to provide relief in natural disasters such as floods or landslides.
But instead of negotiating directly with the leaders, the Americans prefer, at least for the time being, to "reintegrate" only foot soldiers and local leaders. They prefer to negotiate with Taliban chiefs from a position of strength that would be achieved, at the soonest, after the summer offensive in Kandahar.
"The Afghan Taliban no longer insist to govern, but they want to negotiate directly with the Americans. The puppet Karzai must go, the Western military must withdraw, sharia must be implemented and a shura with representatives from across the country led by Mullah Omar must be convened," Hamid Gul, the former head of Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) told SPIEGEL, describing the prerequisites for a cease-fire.
Nevertheless, a delegation of Hekmatyar's Hezb-i-Islami, led by his son-in-law Baheer, made an initial peace offer to Karzai in March. In a 15-page program, which SPIEGEL has also obtained, the group calls for the "complete withdrawal" of Western troups within six months, starting in July 2010, as well as new elections and the release of all political prisoners.
In exchange, they are offering a cease-fire and the breaking-off of ties with al-Qaida fighters. Now the possibility is being discussed of Hekmatyar going into exile in Saudi Arabia for a few years and Baheer being appointed as a minister in Karzai's cabinet.
Global NATO
Iran nuclear deal
The Washington Post is opposed to the nuclear deal and favors sanctions, the LA Times is skeptical and kind of negative. The White House doesn't like it either.
See also Kaveh Afrasiabi about the fact that Turkey's role in the deal positions it well to act as a bridge between the Middle East and the EU, and might be important for Turkey to join the EU.
Monday, May 17, 2010
China Iran
In fact, it appears that China is digging in to protect its vital interests in Iran. Incidentally, China reportedly opened a missile plant in Iran in March 2010, the latest in a series of expanding military ties between Beijing and Tehran. China also increased exports of gasoline to Iran in an effort to ease pressure on Tehran amid US efforts to target Iran's domestic gasoline industry through sanctions.
Also, SA does have its own interests for building ties with China, namely, finding new outlets for its oil and cultivating an alliance with China, which has some power over Iran, whose nuclear rise in the region threatens SA.
Afghanistan
Iran nuclear swap
The main difference between the deal Iran has just agreed to and the U.N.-drafted version, AP reports, is that if Iran does not receive the fuel rods for its medical research reactor within a year, Turkey will be required to "quickly and unconditionally" return the uranium to Iran. Iran had feared that under the initial U.N. deal, if a swap fell through, its uranium stock could be seized permanently. If the West is operating in good faith, then this difference between the agreements shouldn't matter.
Furthermore, Iran dropped an earlier demand for the fuel exchange to happen in stages and is now willing to ship abroad its nuclear material in a single batch. It also dropped an insistence that the exchange happen inside Iran as well as a request to receive the fuel rods right away.
"There is no ground left for more sanctions or pressure," Turkey's Foreign Minister said.
Also, the role of rising powers Turkey and Brazil, which are emerging powers and also assert more and mode independence from Washington.
Importantly, the US tried to discourage the deal, since of course if diplomacy works, that invalidates Washington's militaristic approach. A few hours later, US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton telephoned Davutoglu and sought to discourage the Turkey-Brazil initiative. A state department spokesman said she had warned him that any summit in Tehran would be just a ploy, "an attempt to stop Security Council action without actually taking steps to address international concerns about its nuclear programme". Clinton, however, may not have been on the same political page as the White House. As she was speaking in Washington, Turkish officials in Ankara were telling journalists at an off-the-record briefing that they had received quiet encouragement from President Obama to press ahead with their mediating effort. This may have been a planned divergence of official American opinion designed to pressure Iran; just as possibly, it reflects Clinton's continuing isolation from the inner-circle of American foreign policymaking on crucial world issues.
Sunday, May 16, 2010
Saturday, May 15, 2010
Afghanistan drugs
Friday, May 14, 2010
Boeing and Exxon oppose Iran sanctions
And so is the US Chamber of Commerce, also against sanctions.
War on AIDS faltering
Now, instead of a sharp increase in donations, as once planned, the administration proposes only a slight increase in bilateral financing and a modest reduction in its multilateral contribution.
Thursday, May 13, 2010
China US competition in the Middle East
China US competition in the Middle East
Red Cross tells of 2nd jail at Bagram
It's not something new though.
And abuses by US troops at the jail have been reported. So Obama's ban on torture is not true.
US in Pakistan drones
The point here is that there is every indication that the air war is going to intensify in Pakistan on two fronts. The US drone campaign appears to be escalating and the Pakistani military is building up, modernizing and elevating the lethality of its air force thanks to US training and the approval of military hardware sales.
Pentagon contracts to Iran-friendly companies
UK hawkish on Iran, Israel
Wednesday, May 12, 2010
Afghanistan drugs
“We all eat corruption and drug money, albeit in different quantities,” said an official in the Finance Ministry who preferred anonymity.
Obama's drug policy
Yet 64% of their budget - virtually the same as under the Bush Administration and its predecessors - focuses on largely futile interdiction efforts as well as arresting, prosecuting and incarcerating extraordinary numbers of people. Only 36% is earmarked for demand reduction - and even that proportion is inflated because the ONDCP "budget" no longer includes costs such as the $2 billion expended annually to incarcerate people who violate federal drug laws.
US funds warlords in Afghanistan
The US government is facing fresh questions on its oversight of war funding amid mounting evidence that a $2.16bn trucking contract is enriching Afghan warlords linked to the controversial half-brother of President Hamid Karzai.
As the Afghan president arrives in Washington, congressional investigators are looking into whether millions of taxpayers' dollars are being paid to militia commanders to protect convoys ferrying supplies through Kandahar province, where US troops are preparing an offensive.
Also, the US is trying to empower local leaders by shifting money to them as opposed to the Karzai central government.
Black jail at Bagram
Monday, May 10, 2010
GAO report on Israel nuclear
Sunday, May 9, 2010
Opiate use in Afghanistan
Those who are injecting drug users face the additional risk of HIV-infection through the sharing of contaminated syringes. “Drug addiction and HIV/AIDS are, together, Afghanistan’s silent tsunami,” declared Tariq Suliman, director of the Nejat’s rehabilitation center to the UN Office for Humanitarian Affairs. There are about 40 treatment centers for addicts dispersed throughout the country but most are small, poorly staffed and under-resourced.
US troops drug use Afghanistan
Saturday, May 8, 2010
Bush wiretapped El Baradei
That strategy worked once before when the administration orchestrated the 2002 removal of Jose M. Bustani, who ran the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW), a U.N. organization based in The Hague. Bustani drew the administration's ire when he tried to involve his organization in the search for suspected chemical weapons in Iraq.
The administration canvassed the organization's board and then forced a narrow vote for his ouster. A successor was found three months later, and there was little diplomatic fallout from the administration's maneuver, mostly because the OPCW has a fairly low profile and its members wanted to avoid being drawn into the diplomatic row leading up to the Iraq war.
Brazil nuclear bomb
Even during his election campaign, Lula criticized the NPT, calling it unfair and obsolete. Although Brazil did not withdraw from the treaty, it demonstratively tightened working conditions for inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Authority (IAEA). The situation became tense in April 2004, when the IAEA was denied unlimited access to a newly built enrichment facility in Resende, near Rio de Janeiro. The Brazilian government also made it clear that it did not intend to sign the additional protocol to the NPT, which would have required it to open previously undeclared facilities to inspection.
Why all this secrecy? What is there to hide in the development of small reactors to power submarines, systems that several countries have had for decades? The answer is as simple as it is unsettling: Brazil is probably also developing something else in the plants it has declared as production facilities for nuclear submarines: nuclear weapons. Vice President José Alencar offered a reason when he openly advocated Brazil's acquisition of nuclear weapons in September 2009. For a country with a 15,000-kilometer border and rich offshore oil reserves, Alencar says, these weapons would not only be an important tool of "deterrence," but would also give Brazil the means to increase its importance on the international stage. When it was pointed out that Brazil had signed the NPT, Alencar reacted calmly, saying it was "a matter that was open to negotiation."
How exactly could Brazil go about building nuclear weapons? The answer, unfortunately, is that it would be relatively easy. A precondition for the legal construction of small reactors for submarine engines is that nuclear material regulated by the IAEA is approved. But because Brazil designates its production facilities for nuclear submarine construction as restricted military areas, the IAEA inspectors are no longer given access. In other words, once the legally supplied enriched uranium has passed through the gate of the plant where nuclear submarines are being built, it can be used for any purpose, including the production of nuclear weapons. And because almost all nuclear submarines are operated with highly enriched uranium, which also happens to be weapons grade uranium, Brazil can easily justify producing highly enriched nuclear fuel.
Friday, May 7, 2010
Terrorism muslim causes
Obama drug war policies
There have been a few possible changes proposed though, such as a slight shift in funding towards prevention and treatment and away from enforcement.
Mexico drug war and human rights
Human rights violations in Mexico have been on the rise in the last few years, with a sixfold increase in complaints against the armed forces since it launched the drug war. Civilian deaths have increased in the context of drug war militarization. The nation faces a crisis of confidence in the government’s ability — or willingness — to provide even the most basic human security.
Thursday, May 6, 2010
US nuclear Hiroshima
In addition, to the active stockpile of 5,113 warheads, there are somewhere around 8,000 to 9,000 "obsoleted" nuclear weapons - weapons that will not be kept in good repair, but will be dismantled eventually and their 30 tons or so of weapons grade metal recovered; and another 38 tons of military plutonium that has never been fabricated into a weapon.
That's perhaps 10,000 megatons' worth of nuclear metal.
For comparison purposes, Little Boy - the uranium bomb dropped on Hiroshima - was calculated to have a destructive power of less than 18 kilotons.
In other words, the United States has enough weapons-grade metal for 25,000 warheads - or 500,000 Hiroshimas.
Secret Blackwater tape
A detailed article by Jeremy Scahill is here. It talks about Blackwater's involvement in Afghanistan and its construction of forward operating bases there, as well as its counter-narcotics operations: it has 200 staff working on anti-drugs operations.
Taliban drones Afghanistan GAO report
Also, drone attacks have been given authorization to expand under Bush and this policy has been continued by Obama. Essentially it transformed the program from targeted killings to broader attacks.
The GAO just issued a report questioning the success of Obama's strategy in Afghanistan. It says Taliban attacks and civilian deaths have increased in recent months: The report noted that Taliban-initiated attacks in Afghanistan rose 75 percent between 2008 and 2009 and that civilian casualties rose 72 percent between last September and March, compared with the comparable period a year earlier.
The actual report is here.
Some points:
-Since Obama announced his surge, about 16,000 troops have arrived in Afghanistan, compared to 200 civilians. Priority: military.
-Insurgent attacks have increased, and their attacks have always (since 2001) targeted primarily foreign troops, and much less so Afghan forces. There is a nice graph that shows this in the report:
Ex: total attacks against coalition forces between September 2009 and March 2010 increased by about 83 percent in comparison to the same period last year, while attacks against civilians rose by about 72 percent. Total attacks against the ANSF increased by about 17 percent over the same period.
Wednesday, May 5, 2010
Iran propaganda
Tuesday, May 4, 2010
Afghanistan survey
67% of the Afghans interviewed by ICOS believe that the military operation was “bad for the Afghan people”.
The Pentagon gave a testimony which asserted the situation was contrary, in a clear propaganda effort. The testimony is here.
The survey confirms trends already apparent: NATO night raids, etc. are killing civilians and angering the population. But also, Afghans don't like either the Taliban or NATO.
67% of the Afghans interviewed opposed a strong NATO presence in their province, and 71% say that foreign forces should leave Afghanistan entirely. This balances an earlier opinion report that had led to more rosy conclusions because it couldn't reach some parts of the country where the insurgency was active (BBC poll).
Lack of substantial progress in the fight against the Taliban is also reflected by the fact that 67% of Afghans interviewed doubted that NATO could ultimately prevail over the insurgency. 14% of respondents were unequivocal in their conviction that the international community and volunteered the Afghan government would “never” succeed.
At the same time, 67% of interviewed Afghans say that international and government forces should conduct a military operation against insurgents in Kandahar. This may come as a surprise, given the overall negative assessment of the impact of the Operation Moshtarak.
Yet the underlying positive message is the desire of the Afghans to be rid of the Taliban‟s presence and violence: what they do not want, however, is to bear the type of unmitigated impact of the fighting between the insurgents and NATO forces that they and their families are experiencing. Maybe RAWA and Joya are right then?
61% of those interviewed by ICOS stated that the operation has made them feel more negative about the presence and activities of foreign forces.
The Afghans interviewed strongly support a process of dialogue with the Taliban, with 74% approving of negotiations. Combined to the fact that people don't like the Taliban, this suggests that they're just tired of the fighting.
Monday, May 3, 2010
Mexico drug war
“How much misery can a policy cause before it is acknowledged as a failure and reversed? The U.S. ‘war on drugs’ suggests there is no upper limit,” writes Financial Times columnist Clive Crook. “The country’s implacable blend of prohibition and punitive criminal justice is wrong headed in every way: immoral in principle, since it prosecutes victimless crimes, and in practice a disaster of remarkable proportions.”
Unless the war on drugs' goals are to target the marginalized etc.