Friday, April 30, 2010
Thursday, April 29, 2010
Iran sanctions
Iran Al Qaeda Pakistan
Maliki torture jail
All the detainees interviewed described the same methods of torture employed by their Iraqi interrogators. The jailers suspended the detainees handcuffed and blindfolded upside down by means of two bars, one placed behind their calves and the other against their shins. All had terrible scabs and bruising on their legs. The interrogators then kicked, whipped and beat the detainees. Interrogators also placed a dirty plastic bag over the detainee's head to close off his air supply. Typically, when the detainee passed out from this ordeal, his interrogators awakened him with electric shocks to his genitals or other parts of his body.
Another article is here.
Britain torture Afghanistan
Iran nuclear
Wednesday, April 28, 2010
Obama uses military commissions again, like Bush
Unlike the federal criminal courts, the military commissions are new and lack experience in dealing with complex international terrorism trials. Since 9/11, the military commissions have completed only three terrorism-related cases, with two of three convicted defendants already released. Federal courts, on the other hand, have successfully completed over 400 terrorism-related cases. And despite a missed deadline, no rules have yet been promulgated to comply with the latest military commissions legislation. Basic questions about how the proceedings will operate remain unanswered, such as whether a defendant in the military commissions can plead guilty to a death penalty charge.
Alcohol Afghanistan
Somne foreign troops drink a lot of alcohol, such as the Germans.
Tuesday, April 27, 2010
EU wants sanctions on Iran
Rashid on reconciliation
Meanwhile, the Emergency workers are back in Italy:
But it was no surprise that Emergency had come under the Afghan authorities' scrutiny. Like other medical charities such as the Red Cross, it treats wounded regardless of whose side they are on, which means Taliban fighters are among those who benefit from their care.
But unlike other NGOs in the field, it has accompanied its work in Helmand with sharp criticism of the number of civilian victims of the southern offensive against the Taliban and allegations that the United States-led international coalition was preventing the injured from reaching their hospital.
"It's probably right to say what happened, happened because we told the story of the war," Dell'Aira told a news conference on Friday. "This annoyed people because we told all the stories of our wounded, 40 percent of whom are children."
Monday, April 26, 2010
Colombia
Saturday, April 24, 2010
Civilians killed in Afghanistan
Britain will pay Iran for broken contract
However Iran won't be able to access the released funds because of sanctions put on Tehran by the EU; when the sanctions are lifted the funds will become available.
Iran sanctions
Gareth Porter discusses the likelihood that the US will use nuclear weapons against Iran.
Meanwhile, Iran has agreed to give more freedom to the IAEA in its inspections.
Legalization of marijuana
Regardless of the outcome of the November referendum to legalize marijuana in California, CannBe, a marketing firm, says it expects to expand its business model nationwide to become what admirers say will be “the McDonald’s of marijuana.”
The federal government continues to oppose any decriminalization of the drug. And while the Obama administration has signaled some leeway when it comes to medical marijuana, raids on dispensaries and growers by law enforcement agencies are still common — even in California, where the industry effectively began in 1996, with the passage of the landmark Proposition 215, which legalized medical marijuana.
Today, rules vary widely in the 14 states that allow medical marijuana, and a final vote on legalization is pending in the District of Columbia. Some states require sellers to prove nonprofit status — often as a collective or cooperative — and all states require that patients have a recommendation from a physician. But even those in favor of medical marijuana believe that the system is ripe for abuse or even unintentional lawbreaking.
Friday, April 23, 2010
NATO nuclear
Meanwhile, Merkel said that leaving Afghanistan would lead to a 2nd 9-11.
Marijuana in California
There are 32 people serving life sentences in California on a third-strike marijuana conviction. In 2008, 1,499 were in prison on marijuana convictions; in 2007, 4,925 in county jails. (Nationally, between 1990 to 2005, there were 7,200,000 marijuana related arrests – 1 out of every 18 felony convictions.)
The age of Obama saw Attorney General Eric Holder tell the federal DEA to give low priority to harassment of valid medical marijuana clubs in states – fourteen so far, plus Washington, D.C. – that give marijuana some form of legality. Remember, in the U.S.A., there is federal law and there are state laws. Federal law trumps state law, but it’s still up to the U.S. attorney general to decide on priorities in enforcement. On March 25, 2010, California officials announced that 523,531 signatures – almost 100,000 more than required – had been validated in support of a state initiative to legalize marijuana and allow it to be sold and taxed, no small fiscal allurement in budget-stricken California. (Many growers, zealous not to get on the wrong side of the IRS and the state tax board, declare “agricultural” revenues in some form dependant on the creativity of their accountant or lawyer. After all, to get a bank loan, a college loan, you need a healthy looking returnh. The feds and the state are happy to take the money and, as a rule, not to ask questions. The state utility, PG&E, is similarly happy to rake in large sums from growers using huge amounts of power to run their indoor grow lights and electric fans.
China nuclear
Prompt Global Strike
This is dangerous as the Russians would not know if a missile launched towards them is nuclear or conventional.
The US is also testing the Falcon, a plane in space, that is part of the PGS.
Iran sanctions
The sanctions would seek to penalize companies that do business with Iran's energy sector or that assist the Islamic Republic in importing gasoline. It would ban these companies from having access to the lucrative U.S. market.
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said "Iran is a festering sore on the world."
There is also a report from the GAO.
Thursday, April 22, 2010
Pakistan tribal areas
Plan Mexico
Wednesday, April 21, 2010
Russia helps India and Pak on nuclear field
Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Drugs in Afghanistan, Mexico and Colombia
Her piece is also an evaluation of Obama's drugs policy. Although she says that "since the Office of the National Drug Control Policy (ONDCP) has not yet released a statement outlining its overall counternarcotics strategy, I will rely on other official documents, such as the congressional testimonies by Director of ONDCP, Mr. Gil Kerlikowske, the budgetary request by the Obama Administration, and newspaper commentaries on proposed counternarcotics strategies."
There is also a link to a report that evaluates Plan Colombia.
Monday, April 19, 2010
Emergency in Afghanistan
BRIC and IBSA nations oppose Iran sanctions
Also, Iran has projects to upgrade 7 refineries:
Iran is seeking foreign and domestic partners to invest 28.2 billion euros ($39 billion) and raise refining capacity, Aminollah Eskandari, an official at National Iranian Oil Refining & Distribution Co., said this week. It has planned seven refinery projects with total capacity of 1.56 million barrels a day, according to a document prepared by Eskandari for a presentation yesterday.
There are also 10 projects to upgrade seven existing refineries. Completion of these projects, slated for the end of 2012, will allow Iran to expand its regular gasoline production capacity to 96,800 kiloliters a day from the 58,000 kiloliters, according to the document.
Nor is Iran lacking for customers. A Swiss company just signed a deal worth $13 billion to import Iranian natural gas over the next 25 years. As for financial sanctions, so far Iran is evading them through banking partners in the United Arab Emirates, and Iran and Venezuela have two joint banks. These measures provide Iran with a back door, allowing it to mitigate the effects of financial sanctions.
94% of Kandaharis want peace
Ninety-one percent of the respondents supported the convening of a "Loya Jirga," or "grand assembly" of leaders as a way of ending the conflict, with 54 percent "strongly" supporting it, and 37 percent "somewhat" supporting it. That figure appears to reflect support for President Karzai’s proposal for a "peace Jirga" in which the Taliban would be invited to participate.
US military spending beyond $1 trillion
The grand total comes to $1,027.8 billion, which is 61.5 percent greater than the Pentagon’s outlays alone.
Saturday, April 17, 2010
Economic pressure on Iran
Also, the article notes that:
European banks have received a simple message: they can either trade with Iran, or with the United States, not both.
Afghans don't like government nor Taliban
The mayor of Kandahar explained:
Hamidi (mayor) blames the situation on a decision by the Bush administration to forge alliances with anti-Taliban warlords in various parts of Afghanistan after the 2001 invasion. Empowering the warlords weakened President Hamid Karzai's government, which in turn was unable to address problems outside the capital — including the tribal imbalance in Kandahar.
"It was the international community that went to the warlords after the Taliban and brought them back," the mayor said. "And this is the result."
Friday, April 16, 2010
Iran energy
Also, Malaysia's Petronas has stopped selling gasoline to Iran, as a result of US pressure.
Canada torture Afghanistan
Internally displaced in Afghanistan
Cannabis in Afghanistan
Thursday, April 15, 2010
Marjah reconstruction slow
Diem and Karzai
In the experiences of both Ngo Dinh Diem and Hamid Karzai lurks a self-defeating pattern common to Washington's alliances with dictators throughout the Third World, then and now. Selected and often installed in office by Washington, or at least backed by massive American military aid, these client figures become desperately dependent, even as they fail to implement the sorts of reforms that might enable them to build an independent political base. Torn between pleasing their foreign patrons or their own people, they wind up pleasing neither. As opposition to their rule grows, a downward spiral of repression and corruption often ends in collapse; while, for all its power, Washington descends into frustration and despair, unable to force its allies to adopt reforms which might allow them to survive. Such a collapse is a major crisis for the White House, but often -- Diem’s case is obviously an exception -- little more than an airplane ride into exile for the local autocrat or dictator.
There was -- and is -- a fundamental structural flaw in any American alliance with these autocrats. Inherent in these unequal alliances is a peculiar dynamic that makes the eventual collapse of such American-anointed leaders almost inevitable. At the outset, Washington selects a client who seems pliant enough to do its bidding. Such a client, in turn, opts for Washington’s support not because he is strong, but precisely because he needs foreign patronage to gain and hold office.
Once installed, the client, no matter how reluctant, has little choice but to make Washington’s demands his top priority, investing his slender political resources in placating foreign envoys. Responding to an American political agenda on civil and military matters, these autocrats often fail to devote sufficient energy, attention, and resources to cultivating a following; Diem found himself isolated in his Saigon palace, while Karzai has become a “president” justly, if derisively, nicknamed “the mayor of Kabul.” Caught between the demands of a powerful foreign patron and countervailing local needs and desires, both leaders let guerrillas capture the countryside, while struggling uncomfortably, and in the end angrily, as well as resentfully, in the foreign embrace.
Wednesday, April 14, 2010
Impunity in Afghanistan
The Peace, Reconciliation and Justice Action Plan (PRJAP) - widely known as transitional justice - was endorsed by the Afghan government and international community in 2005 as a roadmap for addressing past human rights violations.
Iran sanctions nuclear
David Miliband, the Foreign Secretary, sought to play down reports of continuing Chinese resistance. "I don't believe that China wants to find itself isolated in the international community when it comes to Iran," he told reporters.
Israel and NPT
Monday, April 12, 2010
Indo-US nuclear deal
Taxes and war
Sunday, April 11, 2010
Missile Defense
See also this BBC summary.
Canada empowers warlords in Afghanistan
Saturday, April 10, 2010
Israel nuclear weapons
Friday, April 9, 2010
Iraq killings
Nuclear matters
Good:
Bad:
-the treaty does not limit any current or planned U.S. missile defenses, also noted here and here and here.
-The treaty doesn't call for the destruction of one single warhead; excess warheads are simply stored and, theoretically, could be redeployed.
Other implications:
-Some have argued that new START will increase pressure on Iran because it shows that Russia and the US are united and Russia will go along the international community; also it shows that now Iran can't pretend it is unfair to ask them to come clean since the superpowers have shown they are dedicated to eliminating their arsenals.
This is not a very good argument but it will be made in the mainstream.
Also, a new Nuclear Posture Review has been adopted by the Obama administration.
Key clauses:
-"The United States will not use or threaten to use nuclear weapons against non-nuclear weapons states that are party to the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty and in compliance with their nuclear nonproliferation obligations."
Basically the US reserves the right of using nuclear weapons against Iran. A good analysis of the NPR is here and another one is here.
In other words, the NPR says that while the primary purpose of America’s nuclear arsenal is to deter nuclear use against the United States and its allies, deterrence is not its only purpose. More specifically, the Administration will reserve the prerogative for the United States to use nuclear weapons first, at its discretion, against non-nuclear-weapons states that are not, in Washington’s view, in full compliance with their obligations under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT).
Bad:
-No pledge of "no first use"
-Keeps targeting Iran and NK with nuclear weapons.
-Keeps about 200 tactical nuclear weapons in 5 European countries.
a 10 percent increase in the administration’s funding request for nuclear weapons infrastructure modernization
Two good articles are here and here.
Thursday, April 8, 2010
Mexico drug war
And another article on Mexico's drug war.
Afghanistan drugs
Iran sanctions nuclear
Wednesday, April 7, 2010
Tuesday, April 6, 2010
Obama nuclear doctrine to target Iran, NK
Under Obama's Nuclear Posture Review, the administration will foreswear the use of the deadly weapons against nonnuclear countries, officials said, in contrast to previous administrations, which indicated they might use nuclear arms against nonnuclear states in retaliation for a biological or chemical attack.
But Obama included a major caveat: The countries must be in compliance with their nonproliferation obligations under international treaties. That loophole would mean Iran would remain on the potential target list.
The new policy will also describe the purpose of U.S. weapons as being fundamentally for deterrence. Some Democratic legislators had urged Obama to go further and declare that the United States would not use nuclear weapons first in a conflict. But officials in the Defense and State departments worried that such a change could unnerve allies protected by the U.S. nuclear "umbrella."
The nuclear review calls for major new investments in nuclear weapons laboratories and facilities to maintain the aging arsenal. Administration officials have argued that such investments would allow for more confidence in the the stockpile's effectiveness and would eventually allow cuts in excess weapons.
But the budget increase has raised eyebrows among some arms-control experts. They worry that it sends a signal that the U.S. nuclear complex will be around for decades.
A major topic of debate in the review was whether to develop a new warhead, and how much refurbishing of old warheads would turn them into "new" weapons. Last year, Congress said that future "life extension programs" for warheads should be examined on a case-by-case basis and that any changes should be limited to keeping current capabilities.
Many nuclear analysts think the review will not call for any immediate changes in the package of nuclear warheads now going through the life-extension program. Rather, it will leave that open as a future option.
Stephen Young, a senior analyst for the Union of Concerned Scientists, said: "The administration will make the right choice not to develop a new nuclear warhead now, but they will leave the door open to that option, essentially kicking that can down the road. Our concern is some people will want to walk through that door very soon, when the science says it isn't required."
The NYT also has an article on the NPR.
Sunday, April 4, 2010
Obama like Bush on State Secrets
An update here.
Saturday, April 3, 2010
Friday, April 2, 2010
Thursday, April 1, 2010
Night raids in Afghanistan
Two moves by McChrystal last year reveal his strong commitment to night raids as a tactic. After becoming commander of North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and United States forces last May, he approved a more than four-fold increase in those operations, from 20 in May to 90 in November, according to a December 16 report in the Los Angeles Times. One of McChrystal's spokesmen, Tadd Sholtis, acknowledged to IPS that the jump in number of night raids reflected McChrystal's guidance.
As a result of McChrystal's decisions, civilian deaths from night raids have spiked, even as those from air strikes were being reduced. Night raids caused more than half of the nearly 600 civilian deaths attributable to coalition forces in 2009, according to United Nations and Afghan government estimates,.
Karzai alienated
Obama should realize that Karzai does not visualize the Americans as his enemy, as is often being projected naively by correspondents for the Western media . Nor is Karzai irrational in striving for reconciliation. He has no reason to torpedo Obama's policy or to "spite" the US, as interpreted recently by a Washington Post correspondent.
Karzai is an able politician with acute survival instincts, and he is not a woolly headed romantic who fancies that he can get away with strategic defiance of the US, which has staked its global prestige and that of the entire Western alliance in the war in the Hindu Kush.
Obama should distinguish that it is the ISI and the Pakistani military whom Karzai (and the "warlords") considers to be his adversaries. His frustration is that the Americans are either far too naive to comprehend what is going on or are dissimulating since they are pursuing some "hidden agenda" in relation to the geopolitics of the region.
These are all good enough reasons why Karzai is keen to shore up Iranian support. But Karzai has no reason to conspire with the Iranians against the US. His first option will always be that the US reposes confidence in him and allows him to negotiate a national reconciliation.
Nor is Tehran unaware that Karzai's first preference will always be to work with the Americans. If Tehran has still opted to work with Karzai, that is because he has been an exceptionally good neighbor and, even during the period when he might have been an American "puppet", he never acted in a hostile manner against Iranian interests, instead welcoming Iran's participation in the Afghan reconstruction.
Afghanistan drugs
The report is here and the press release here.
An article on the geopolitics of Afghan hashish is here with some information about its history.
In related news, there was a bust of precursor (acetic anhydride, used in heroin production) in Pakistan in which UNODC was involved.